Version 2.0.6957 Adding Goals parameter to Start/StopCriteria for Football bot. Version 2.0.6934 Web page login for Swedish Jurisdiction User Version 2.0.6851 Matched Time added to My Results view and CSV export file. Version 2.0.6788 Bot Executor update. Version 2.0.6727 Tool: My ...
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Execute My Football Strategy
This week I made remote support through google hangouts, I would not suggest using this service, as there is no option to take control on hosting computer so there is no quick way to explain what to do. Then we tried TeamViewer, it was support for user out of Europe because he called football the ...
Tennis Live Score Data
From Bet Angel forum: Tennis live data Dallas said Australian Open doesn't provide server data etc, so which strategy files can be used? Is the Australian the only tennis tournament that doesn't provide this data? * Aus open is the only major tournament they don't have the score feed license for, ...
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Bfexplorer uses PayPal subscription system, and once activated by you it is PayPal making recurring payment in set interval and not Bfexplorer. Recurring payment is active till again you cancel it, so your bfexplorer subscription as well.
Day of betfair api activation in some cases is not the same day when PayPal recurring payment was made, as betfair api activation really takes place only when your betfair subscription code expires, and of course you are still active subscriber, this is set to 30 days.
For instance, as bfexplorer offers trial period, the first betfair api activation is done automatically when you install bfexplorer app, and login to betfair. Now still in trial period you buy your monthly subscription, activating PayPal recurring payment, as your betfair api access is still valid, it is not generated new subscription code, but it is done later when your befair subscription code expires.
So in this case your subscription code can be activated later, and the day when your betfair subscription code expires is not the same as the day PayPal recurring payment was done.
As said before those days could really differ in 30 days. For instance, PayPal recurring payment is done each 30 days, but as your betfair subscription code is really activated by your betfair login, those are requirements from betfair, then when you take some holiday from betfair trading for instance for X days and you did so coincidently at day when PayPal recurring payment was made, then difference between PayPal payment and your betfair api subscription expiration day will differ for these X days, after your will login to betfair with bfexplorer app again, so your new betfair subscription code will be generated again.
Even users using bfexplorer by running automated trading systems, in fully autonomous mode (24/7) on betfair, must re-login with bfexplorer when betfair subscription code expires. Of course they can do so just by opening second bfexplorer app instance, as bfexplorer subscribers could execute as many of bfexplorer app per betfair user name as needed. For such users, common sense says that better alternative is one year subscription.
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When testing this horse racing strategy on today’s races using Bfexplorer Bot Executor tool, the bot trigger the action bot on 4 markets up till now, all trades in profit. The rest of races where the action bot has not been triggered the favourite were bred in Ireland.
Testing this horse racing strategy
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http://bfexplorer.net/Products/ProductFeatures
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This is a tutorial of building betfair bot, and testing trading strategy, therefore I leave many things unanswered, but of course for those who are interested they could draw their own opinion. Here is another video:
https://youtu.be/HlmTx53oTdY
1)
Liability increases from number of bets placed after goal is scored, as in many cases the problem with fake score occurred there were placed two additional bets. This is actually good when testing a strategy as for those who are not able to judge all risks in running such strategies, these fake score bets showed what could go wrong.
Fakes score can be fixed by double checking score results at set time interval, or by checking/getting scores from more reliable sources than betfair ones.
2)
When testing this strategy I did not set closing market bet position when required profit is reached. Actually “Close Market Bet Position” bot was executed but with unrealistic profit target, as I was more interested to learn what maximal liability can be reached just by requiring 2 Euro payout.
No 0 – 0 correct score bet was placed, again when you think about this strategy you will get maximal profit on matches ended by 0 – 0, I do not have current statistics but depending on league there is around 5 – 8% games ending with 0 – 0 draw.
This strategy can be executed by closing 0 – 0 in profit when using reasonable profit, so strategy could end on correct score market, avoiding this way risk of big liability on match odds trading when a lot of goals is scored.
3)
When executing this strategy on match odds market only, you can set maximal liability of potential bet, or match time at what bot does not place such bet when first goal is scored, as odds after goal is scored depends not only on team who scored but of course on match time remaining to the match end. If you watched my videos you could see that a lot of such bets introducing big liability were placed at 85 and more minute of the match.
4)
None strategy is 100% profitable, you must learn to take loss as well, when I start testing any strategy I do not set Loss parameter, I do so when fine tuning promising strategy, and that can be judged very simply, just by counting number of total trades, and losing ones.
So bot should be programmed, not just take required profit, but depending on match time, potential liability after next goal is scored, and of course when score is locked in our favor, close bet position in profit can be switched off.
5)
As said before most difficult part is to take loss, to judge that you need to execute a lot of trades.
6)
In my tests I did not selected matches on which I run this strategy, again it is clear that profitability depends on this selection process as well. I think anyone after reading this post and watching some of my videos should realize that big risk for this strategy are goals scored at the end of the match so after 90 minute. Some statistical methods of choosing “right” matches to trade on could help avoid risk of big bet liabilities.
Mir.
ad) Results!
Yes, it is specific strategy for selected markets, but It is crazy!
A huge! liability, risky betting on small odds at the end of the matches etc.
What about liquidity? I doubt that at the last minute one bet can reverse the betting result.
I wonder how to set the strategy differently to make it profitable, but not so risky (if possible, on real markets)
Otherwise, thanks for testing this strategy.
Mir.
Oh crap!
I never check the running of the scores...
Thousands of matches, sorry, not for me. But I can check if score decrease on monitored markets, how many and where.
After all, it is interesting. Thanks
Admin
Checking results:
https://youtu.be/RYxd64S1B2s
Admin
Fake scores from betfair live score provider is really big problem. I asked betfair about that, here is their reply:
https://forum.developer.betfair.com/forum/developer-program/general-betting/26180-var-rules
As you can see from my video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8csHYSPyUM8
In the Bundesliga match: FC Bayern Munich - SC Freiburg, there was no VAR decision:
https://fcbayern.com/en/matches/profis/bundesliga/2018-2019/fc-bayern-muenchen-sc-freiburg-03-11-2018-liveticker#content-navi
On the official Bayern web page there is live score provided by sportsdata, and no fake score was reported by sportsdata.
I think there is “insider trading” on fake scores to be blamed. This is not first occurrence on fake score on Sunday matches.
Admin
Automated trading is any algorithm choosing your bet selection automatically. In this strategy a bet selection is driven by goal scored event in a football match, so it can be called automated trading strategy.
Yes, you can run automated strategies using bfexplorer in 24/7 mode.
This strategy is good example to introduce bots for bettors, or to those whose place bets manually as it is simple, but can be executed with different parameters, for instance no placing bet on correct score market, or starting placing bets only from set match time when goal is scored.
The trigger bot code can be updated to not place bets but instead just notifies you about goal scoring, so bot would automatically display match and selection/team which scored goal, then you can make your bet decisions manually. Have a look at how that works in in-play horse racing strategy: Watch Favourite bot.
As said before this strategy profitability or risk affinity depends on number of scored goals, and time when last goal is scored. Biggest profit is made on 0 – 0 match results, biggest loss for more goals (3 and more, when score goes from one team to other and/or draw) and not match bet after goal scored in last minute.
Top leagues matches starts on Friday, but will leave running some matches with bigger liquidity through this week as well.
Mir.
yes, you are bringing solution for specific strategy.
It is great!
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But there is question what is automated trading? Linear execution of the trading bots on selected markets? Or unattended strategy which works a weeks or a months...
In my opinion every strategy has similar results on few or many markets. If exists Score mismatch will be better calculate with this on 0,23 % markets, not on 10 %.
Btw liability. High liability isn´t problem if there is long term positive edge. But what I saw on videos... it would not leave me calm.
I look forward for new results in testing mode.